Showing posts with label Debt Ceiling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Debt Ceiling. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Last Entry on the Debt Ceiling, I PROMISE (For Now)

New York Times: Comparing Deficit Reduction Plans
It's a good graphic illustrating the '11th Hour Plan' and previous proposals.

Two key points I drew from the debt ceiling 'compromise':
  • 12-person bipartisan Congressional committee to draft a proposal reducing the deficit. A combination of revenue-raising (taxes), tax code-rewriting, and spending cuts can be used. The rest of Congress can vote either to pass or deny it, but no amendments can be made.
  • Obama now has, essentially, complete authority to raise the debt ceiling in both phases. Congress can vote down his request but he can still veto it.
At least Medicaid and SS are off the table. I feel a little more relieved seeing that.

It seems like what this bill mostly does is delay the inevitable goal--reducing the deficit. A measure in exchange for securing the more immediate need to raise the debt limit? In a few months, maybe weeks, the second part of the wrangling saga will continue...

I hate talking about 'winners' and 'losers' in this because it characterizes the entire situation for what it should least resemble: a competition. But I can't say it puts Obama in a favorable position when it comes to his reelection prospects, at least for now. Liberal media and the progressive caucus are railing against it as being a concession toward fiscal hawks and more generally, the GOP. Ultra-conservative Republicans can still go back to their constituents and tell them they voted against this bill. They stuck to their guns. If the economy begins recovering I think Republicans will not hesitate to take credit for being the ones to prevent raising taxes.

I honestly can't see this bill stimulating the economy though. At best, the markets will continue to be shaky. Investors will not ignore the elephant in the room, which is US public debt and the ever-present threat of a credit downgrade. At worst, with caps on spending the economic recovery will continue to be weak. How can there be job creation when there is not a Keynesian-like outlet to support hiring efforts? And if come 2012, the economy is still the way it is, Obama and the Democrats are going to be in trouble...

Sunday, July 31, 2011

My Dad on the Debt Ceiling, Colonel Sanders, and World Population Boom

你不給人家錢, 他們要怎麼做事?

Says my dad as he watches news about the debt ceiling. Basically he's saying that if the debt ceiling isn't raised, how can Obama get things done? I don't know what coming "very close" to an agreement means, but hopefully that's really the case and both parties can stop this political bickering that has dragged for way too long. It's like they're voting down the other side's proposal just for the sake of doing it.

I learned today that Colonel Sanders opened KFC when he lost his restaurant business at age 65 and traversed the country on his social security funds in search of a new business opportunity. That business opportunity is now a nation-wide fried chicken chain and booming in China. I wonder what Colonel Sanders knew or thought about China during his living years. Did he ever imagine the remote possibility that his restaurant would become the literal and symbolic provender of a rising middle class in a country with over 1 billion people?
Anyway, he's my new hero for becoming an entrepreneur at an age when most people retire or just die.

And OMG, the world population is expected to hit 7 billion this year. The developing world, Africa in particular, is expected to contribute 49% of the world's growth while the developed is expected to contribute 3%. Crazy. So...should academics begin studying migration dynamics? Because I have a feeling it's only going to becoming a hotter topic in these next few decades...

Friday, July 29, 2011

Uh Huh

henrywang228:
you know if for just one day
the united states policy making was turned over to the central committee of the PRC
so much would get done

maybe the halls of congress would smell like smoke
and spit everywhere on the floor
but meh